Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Polymarket
33c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 33 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. The most recent whale trade on Polymarket was a $16,600 buy of No at 80c, 1 day ago.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #25212 | Buy | No | 80c | $16,600 | not yet ranked | 1 day ago |
Trade this market
A trading partner is not connected yet. This is where you will be able to open this market on a supported venue.
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