Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket
28c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 28 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. The most recent whale trade on Polymarket was a $22,625 buy of No at 84c, 10 days ago.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #43792 | Buy | No | 84c | $22,625 | 100% on 1 resolved | 10 days ago |
| Wallet #83324 | Buy | No | 85c | $82,781 | not yet ranked | 13 days ago |
| Wallet #34572 | Buy | Yes | 15c | $26,003 | not yet ranked | 17 days ago |
Trade this market
A trading partner is not connected yet. This is where you will be able to open this market on a supported venue.
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