Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket
61c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 61 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. The most recent whale trade on Polymarket was a $24,694 buy of Yes at 65c, 1 day ago.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #78935 | Buy | Yes | 65c | $24,694 | not yet ranked | 1 day ago |
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