Wallet #52576
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
Win rate
67%
Resolved markets
3
Realized PnL
$17
Total volume
$2,595,290
Summary
Wallet #52576 has settled 3 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 67% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $17. Its most recent tracked trade was buy No at 99c for $4,218, 1 day ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
Live positions
What this wallet is holding right now, biggest first: the side it is on, the average price it paid, and where the market trades now. Compare the entry to the current price to see how much of the move is left. These are positions, not betting advice.
| Market | Holding | Avg entry | Market now | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 82c | 22c | $14,868 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 71c | 29c | $7,381 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31? | Yes | 98c | 91c | $6,806 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 64c | 28c | $5,432 |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | No | 61c | 16c | $3,464 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Yes | 49c | 33c | $2,750 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Yes | 17c | 27c | $1,074 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Yes | 54c | 23c | $375 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Yes | 16c | 35c | $187 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | Yes | 47c | 33c | $176 |
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | Buy | No | 99c | $4,218 | 1 day ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | Buy | No | 70c | $685 | 3 days ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | Buy | No | 100c | $13,693 | 4 days ago |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30? | Buy | No | 82c | $147 | 5 days ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 97c | $278 | 5 days ago |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long? | Buy | Yes | 97c | $1,257 | 5 days ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours? | Buy | Yes | 69c | $72 | 7 days ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? | Buy | No | 68c | $37 | 7 days ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours? | Buy | No | 76c | $34 | 7 days ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 56c | $751 | 8 days ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 60c | $386 | 8 days ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | Sell | Yes | 32c | $477 | 13 days ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Buy | No | 94c | $926 | 14 days ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Buy | No | 82c | $14,868 | 14 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 19c | $6,029 | 14 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Sell | No | 66c | $46 | 14 days ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Buy | No | 69c | $83 | 14 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 53c | $193 | 14 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | Buy | Yes | 55c | $98 | 14 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 15c | $131 | 14 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 51c | $56 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | Buy | Yes | 41c | $78 | 15 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Sell | No | 81c | $2,243 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 16c | $5 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 53c | $334 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 52c | $30 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 14c | $25 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 52c | $119 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 51c | $14 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 51c | $470 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 50c | $341 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 61c | $1,445 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 61c | $34 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 66c | $1,288 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 52c | $261 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 17c | $890 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 51c | $326 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 13c | $22 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 57c | $211 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 52c | $336 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 45c | $266 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 46c | $237 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 54c | $149 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 44c | $296 | 15 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 98c | $168 | 15 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 60c | $73 | 15 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 51c | $30 | 15 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | No | 96c | $354 | 15 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 16c | $163 | 15 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Buy | Yes | 6c | $1 | 15 days ago |
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