Wallet #41263
0x511f9c771449162349795d17becf8b37031acbe1
Win rate
100%
Resolved markets
1
Realized PnL
$0
Total volume
$137,668
Summary
Wallet #41263 has settled 1 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 100% win rate. Its most recent tracked trade was buy No at 52c for $102, 1 hour ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
Live positions
What this wallet is holding right now, biggest first: the side it is on, the average price it paid, and where the market trades now. Compare the entry to the current price to see how much of the move is left. These are positions, not betting advice.
| Market | Holding | Avg entry | Market now | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 22c | 28c | $2,228 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100c | 8c | $1,545 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 4c | 94c | $265 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 75c | 11c | $89 |
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | Buy | No | 52c | $102 | 1 hour ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | Buy | No | 100c | $196 | 1 hour ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | Buy | No | 98c | $193 | 1 hour ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 2 hours ago |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Sell | Yes | 25c | $10 | 10 hours ago |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Sell | Yes | 25c | $12 | 10 hours ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1? | Buy | No | 100c | $12 | 1 day ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1? | Buy | No | 100c | $62 | 1 day ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | Buy | No | 100c | $62 | 1 day ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | Buy | No | 48c | $30 | 1 day ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | Buy | No | 98c | $61 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | Sell | Yes | 4c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | Sell | Yes | 4c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Buy | No | 92c | $18 | 1 day ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | Buy | No | 99c | $20 | 1 day ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | Buy | No | 96c | $19 | 1 day ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? | Buy | No | 96c | $19 | 1 day ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 77c | $4 | 1 day ago |
| Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026? | Sell | Yes | 52c | $8 | 1 day ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $1 | 1 day ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Trump endorse Democrats in the 2026 Israeli Election? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 31c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Sell | Yes | 90c | $6 | 2 days ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | Sell | Yes | 66c | $7 | 2 days ago |
| Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $4 | 2 days ago |
| Will Cloud9 win Worlds 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $0 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 94c | $17 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 95c | $17 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 87c | $16 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 93c | $17 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 89c | $16 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 89c | $16 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 86c | $15 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 95c | $17 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Buy | No | 92c | $17 | 2 days ago |
| Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 10c | $1 | 3 days ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 89c | $99 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 11c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 10c | $1 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 3 days ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Buy | No | 22c | $2,228 | 3 days ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Sell | Yes | 12c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Sell | Yes | 7c | $1 | 3 days ago |
Trade on a supported venue
A trading partner is not connected yet. This is where you will be able to open this market on a supported venue.
Coming soon