Wallet #68489
0x40c2348351024cce5ba6fccd6015b77bbb77b2fc
Win rate
47%
Resolved markets
19
Realized PnL
$25
Total volume
$14,841
Summary
Wallet #68489 has settled 19 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 47% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $25. Its most recent tracked trade was sell Yes at 20c for $9, 2 days ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 20c | $9 | 2 days ago |
| CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score | Buy | No | 60c | $6 | 4 days ago |
| CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 | Buy | Under | 67c | $7 | 4 days ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? | Buy | Yes | 60c | $6 | 6 days ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 96c | $21 | 6 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 26c | $3 | 6 days ago |
| Will FC Viktoria Köln 1904 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw? | Sell | Yes | 100c | $10 | 6 days ago |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | Buy | Yes | 65c | $7 | 6 days ago |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | Buy | Legacy | 25c | $3 | 6 days ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m? | Buy | Yes | 36c | $4 | 6 days ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m? | Buy | Yes | 35c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? | Buy | No | 49c | $5 | 6 days ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? | Buy | Yes | 75c | $8 | 6 days ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? | Buy | Yes | 79c | $6 | 6 days ago |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22? | Buy | Yes | 31c | $3 | 6 days ago |
| Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-22? | Buy | Yes | 58c | $5 | 6 days ago |
| Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa? | Buy | No | 19c | $15 | 7 days ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | Buy | No | 72c | $7 | 7 days ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Buy | Team Liquid | 38c | $4 | 7 days ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Buy | Yes | 69c | $3 | 7 days ago |
| Will SV Waldhof Mannheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw? | Buy | Yes | 67c | $7 | 7 days ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Sell | No | 71c | $28 | 7 days ago |
| Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) | Buy | SC St. Tönis 11/20 | 8c | $1 | 7 days ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Buy | Iron Wing | 42c | $4 | 8 days ago |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 8 days ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 66c | $14 | 8 days ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 39c | $4 | 8 days ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 59c | $4 | 8 days ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 48c | $16 | 8 days ago |
| Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? | Buy | No | 89c | $18 | 8 days ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Buy | Yes | 22c | $2 | 9 days ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? | Buy | No | 37c | $4 | 9 days ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31? | Buy | Yes | 88c | $18 | 9 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 6c | $3 | 9 days ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 14c | $3 | 9 days ago |
| Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | Buy | Yes | 90c | $18 | 9 days ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 73c | $7 | 10 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | Sell | No | 73c | $13 | 10 days ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Buy | Yes | 3c | $3 | 10 days ago |
| Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Sell | No | 74c | $15 | 10 days ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | Sell | No | 50c | $21 | 10 days ago |
| Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | Buy | Yes | 51c | $8 | 11 days ago |
| Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Sell | No | 80c | $16 | 11 days ago |
| Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Buy | Yes | 12c | $2 | 11 days ago |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | Buy | Yes | 36c | $16 | 11 days ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m? | Buy | Yes | 4c | $1 | 12 days ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | Sell | No | 42c | $3 | 12 days ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | Sell | No | 63c | $22 | 12 days ago |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? | Sell | No | 13c | $10 | 12 days ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m? | Buy | Yes | 4c | $1 | 12 days ago |
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