Wallet #15685
0x03bc97aea53fe9eb8e1c49435f299756033d530c
Win rate
36%
Resolved markets
11
Realized PnL
$-25
Total volume
$71,680
Summary
Wallet #15685 has settled 11 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 36% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized loss of $25. Its most recent tracked trade was buy Doosan Bears at 50c for $2, 22 hours ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
Live positions
What this wallet is holding right now, biggest first: the side it is on, the average price it paid, and where the market trades now. Compare the entry to the current price to see how much of the move is left. These are positions, not betting advice.
| Market | Holding | Avg entry | Market now | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 98c | 2c | $400 |
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz | Buy | Doosan Bears | 50c | $2 | 22 hours ago |
| Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? | Sell | Yes | 82c | $16 | 4 days ago |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23? | Buy | Yes | 15c | $10 | 4 days ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? | Buy | Yes | 69c | $50 | 6 days ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Sell | Yes | 56c | $14 | 9 days ago |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 80c | $16 | 10 days ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Sell | Yes | 28c | $11 | 10 days ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Sell | No | 66c | $13 | 11 days ago |
| Will Australia win? | Sell | Yes | 33c | $2 | 13 days ago |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | Buy | GamerLegion | 85c | $4 | 14 days ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | Sell | No | 14c | $3 | 15 days ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Buy | No | 98c | $400 | 17 days ago |
Trade on a supported venue
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Coming soon