Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket
53c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 53 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. The most recent whale trade on Polymarket was a $20,985 buy of Yes at 21c, 3 days ago.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #34572 | Buy | Yes | 21c | $20,985 | not yet ranked | 3 days ago |
Trade this market
A trading partner is not connected yet. This is where you will be able to open this market on a supported venue.
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