Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket
22c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 22 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, one trade of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $14,868 buy of No at 82c.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #52576 | Buy | No | 82c | $14,868 | not yet ranked | 1 hour ago |
Trade this market
A trading partner is not connected yet. This is where you will be able to open this market on a supported venue.
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